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New high gas prices in Germany, US fuel imports, and a peek of things to come?|
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Basic Training |
Germany is famous globally for many things, such as their beer, their automobiles and their autobahns (and even for their Lederhosen!) One thing however, they are not known for is cheap gasoline. Today, even the Germans are reeling from record new prices at the pumps, 1.50 Euros per liter of gasoline and 1.45 Euros per liter for diesel fuel. At current exchange rates, this translates roughly as $8.00 per gallon of gasoline! Somewhere in Germany, one can imagine a disgruntled German driver contemplating selling-off his/her fuel-hog Smart Car diesel (able to realize only 72+ mpg, highway driving) and finding something a little more “miserly,” like a bicycle!)
The price of crude oil has now reached $126.00 per barrel (around $106.00 higher than it was only about five years ago,) for the first time in history and this does not bode well for the consumers in the United States, the European Union, or in any of the world’s other economies. It is further likely that spikes to $150.00 to $200.00 region can be expected and of course, this will mean significantly higher prices at the pumps (and greater revenues for the oil companies.) The rising crude oil prices will mean that costs associated with the war in Iraq too, will likely have to be revised. In a twist of “irony,” the Arabs and the Iranians too, will have to pay a higher price for gasoline, since they have limited refining abilities of their own and must purchase some of their oil, from the global market. The Iranians for example, have very limited refining capabilities and have to import refined oil and subsidize it for their citizens to keep it affordable, which translate into massive financial losses, for their government. According to Energy Information Administration, Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government, ( http://www.eia.doe.gov/cabs/Iran/Oil.html ) the Iranians “instituted a gasoline rationing system” in June 2007 “…which allows private cars to purchase 26 gallons per month and taxis to buy 211 gallons per month.” Apparently doing so caused a 30 % immediate drop in consumption and a further 14% drop in gasoline imports. Despite this, “…additional $1.5 billion was requested by the Iranian Oil Ministry to increase gasoline imports through March 2008.” Let us consider for a moment that Iran is the second largest OPEC (middle-east) oil producer, after Saudi Arabia and one can only be surprised to read this. By the way, a quick check indicates that only one-third of our oil imports come from OPEC producers (i.e. the “Arabs,”) the rest coming from elsewhere, like Canada, Mexico, Venezuela, etc. According to Energy Information Administration, Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government ( http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publi.../current/import.html ) “Canada remained the largest exporter of total petroleum in February, exporting 2.464 million barrels per day to the United States…” and “The second largest exporter of total petroleum was Saudi Arabia with 1.627 million barrels per day.” Iraq is #6 on this list, after Canada, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Nigeria. Kuwait is #8 on this list, after Angola. While we remain somewhat dependant on Middle-East oil; largely, other markets provide most of our fuel. Today, with significantly increasing demands now coming from Russia, China and India (and let us not forget the European Union,) it is not likely that we could significantly increase our mid-east oil imports, even if we wanted to! We can however be sure of one thing; with increasing demands for fuel from other growing markets, we are likely to pay ever increasingly, for the privilege of driving! I suppose one could accept the significantly higher prices of fuel at the pumps much easier, if such prices also did not affect other prices as well, (or in the least, if only our earnings pretended to keep up with overall price increases!) So we pay more for food, more for clothing, more for just about everything else, as consequence of the rising fuel prices (goods have to be “transported,” after all) and yet we make just about the same wages we made, when things were significantly cheaper! If Germany today provides us with a picture of things to come here in the US, in the near future, it is high time for me to ditch my eight-cylinder sedan, in favor of a Moped! In the least, I have to seriously look into converting one of my old diesel Mercs into a waste-vegetable-oil guzzler! Sgt Mustapha (Honorably Discharged, US Army) |
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Russia??? Is this the same Russia that has one of the top ten oil reserves in the world? |
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Experienced Member |
German and other countries in Europe have always had very high prices because of taxes. But their price, has gone up recently, no where near the doubling of prices that we're seeing. A German doesn't role up to the pump and pay in dollars - He uses Euro's and the value of a Euro is now much higher than the dollar. They are still paying more than we are, but nowhere near double. Take that $8 figure and devide it by 1.54, the present value of the Euro ='s $5.19 a gallon. Dave |
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Member |
Yes, but if they're keeping more back for themselves there's less to sell on and let's not underestimate the desire of Putin to make things awkward for Western Europe while we're at it. |
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Experienced Member |
Your math is faulty:
3.79 liters/gallon x 1.5 Euros/liter x 1.54469 USD/Euro = $8.78 USD per gallon - the price you'd have to pay if they accepted US currency at the German pump (excluding any exchange fees) What you calculated was the cost in Euros of a gallon of gas ... specifically 5.19 Euro/gal |
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Experienced Member |
He, heh. My math is based in the figure provided by the OP. By definition it can't be "faulty." Ok, ok, it's WRONG, but not faulty... But my underlying point remains valid. Their prices haven't gone up nearly as much as ours, whatever the number. Let me add that the net is full of these, "Well, they have it worse than us, just look at this graph showing what they pay in dollars. But they Don't pay in dollars - We do. With all due respect, my neighborhood in FULL of Europeans coming here to gape at the quaint natives, and shop till they drop at all the rediculously LOW prices. I well remember when the shoe was on the other foot... I sic my dog on them, but they also come equiped with high priced dog biscuits, and my dog is soooo mercenary. Dave |
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Experienced Member |
I'm not arguing your point ... simply your math and your statement that they are not paying more than twice what we pay for gas ... they are. Don't become a contestant on "Are You Smarter than a 5th Grader" and select the math category ... On the high side, the weak dollar is good for exports, bad for imports ... so the trade balance benefits as does, as you noted, tourism. Bet the tourists would take home a couple gallon jugs of gas if they could get it through security and customs duty free. |
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Member |
Premium Gasoline Prices, (U.S. Dollars per Gallon, Incl. Taxes)
Date Belgium France Germany Italy Netherlands UK US 1/1/1996 3.95 3.93 4.07 3.89 4.32 3.20 1.27 1/6/1997 4.21 4.01 3.83 4.18 4.29 3.74 1.41 1/5/1998 3.47 3.51 3.30 3.57 3.59 3.78 1.29 1/4/1999 3.52 3.58 3.34 3.63 3.77 3.83 1.13 1/3/2000 3.34 3.57 3.52 3.54 3.78 4.17 1.46 1/8/2001 3.47 3.58 3.55 3.74 4.02 4.42 1.61 1/7/2002 3.13 3.23 3.21 3.35 3.67 3.78 1.29 1/6/2003 3.90 4.15 4.40 4.25 4.64 4.57 1.64 1/5/2004 4.77 4.73 5.05 4.98 5.59 5.17 1.70 1/9/2005 5.00 5.09 5.37 5.39 6.03 5.67 1.99 1/9/2006 5.82 5.53 5.62 5.74 6.28 5.93 2.53 1/8/2007 6.07 5.85 6.18 6.01 6.68 6.42 2.52 1/7/2008 7.92 7.62 7.81 7.66 8.59 7.71 3.34 5/5/2008 8.65 8.25 8.45 8.39 9.36 8.23 3.84 I post this to merely display as an example the difference of prices between the US and European countries. Their retail distribution costs are close to ours at or around $1.10 per litre. Then a tax slightly less to the price per litre is added, and then a 17, 18, or 19% (country dependent) Value Added Tax (VAT) is added to the total purchase. The intent of the taxes placed on their fuel is to reduce consumption since the greater taxes are based on per litre instead of the total sale. |
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Experienced Member |
Oh hell, well that's a bargain... |
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Member |
Yes, I thought so every time I stopped at a station in Holland and filled it up and paying the bill with AAFES gas coupons. |
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Super Member |
yea them europeans sure do tax the hell out of that gas.... glad we havent gotten that bad with taxation...
NO TAXATION WITHOUT REPRESENTATION!!!! |
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Member |
We might get that way with taxes someday. I sure hope not because it may just start anarchy, at least at my house it would. |
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Highly Experienced Member |
The price of oil is not increasing, the unit of petro trade, the U.S. dollar is devaluing, thus giving the appearance of a rise in cost. How long will it be before the world switches to the euro as an instrument of petro trade and thus finally puts the last nail in our economic coffin? When will we as a people finally realize this and demand of our politicians, that supposedly work for us the people, that the budget be balance, the national debt retired, unfair and unbalanced trade agreements be voided and our heavy industries brought back on shore?... How long will moneyed special interests prevent us from drilling our own resources, mining our own resources and building new refineries. Lack of refining capacity is what is keeping prices high, when will new refineries be built? When will we drop the stupidity of ethanol and go with the better fuel of biobutanol? When will we re-develop our nuclear energy program and not listen to the anti nuclear growd? When will we permit more drilling in the Gulf of Mexico and off the coast of California in the Santa Barbara channel? How long will we be held hostage to OPEC, because of the envrio whackos and energy special interests? Respectfully, SUNLINER81 |
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Member |
Something is not quite right with our current picture. If our leaders can not figure a way out of the mess soon I believe it is the beginning of the end of civilization as we knew it to be. |
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Basic Training |
Quote: “Russia??? Is this the same Russia that has one of the top ten oil reserves in the world?” by Sgt Schlappy
Hi Sgt Schlappy, This is not the same Russia of the 1990’s that was the proverbial running-joke of the industrialized world. It has changed much since the days of Boris Yeltsin and especially since the nationalization of its own oil and natural gas supplies. While some of these changes have certainly dealt a blow to sense of democracy within Russia, many of the other changes have resulted in the strengthening of its economy and the building of a massive budget surplus, which now run in the billions. When we compare how much cash surplus Russia has at its disposal, to our own situation with record deficits, well, it is certainly a cause for concern! It seems, now their problem has become deciding exactly how to spend that money and Russia is now looking into purchasing key-assets of other nations (much like India, with the UK and certain wealthy Arab nations with the EU and the US.) A Times Online article even speculated that a company the size of Microsoft could easily be within the reach of the Russians, who are flushed with so much disposable cash! For sometime now, the Russians have been almost exclusively meeting Europe’s natural gas demand (as well as the demands of other regions,) and to say that this has accorded them with “influence” (in addition to cash,) would be an understatement. This also provides a reason for them to enter into partnerships and to purchase exclusive right/access to oil supplies (from some of the old Soviet breakaway states.) Again, they do not buy oil because they need it, but because they can use agreements/partnerships to manipulate markets, exert a greater degree of control and to help maintain their monopoly in relationship to Europe, etc. There is currently an effort to put in place a second, direct oil supply line to Europe, which would pass through Turkey (Nabucco Pipeline Project, which involves a number of European nations, including Turkey) and some of the partnerships and purchase agreements Russia has entered into, or is about to enter into, have been done to undermine this particular project. Of course, to ensure that Russia maintains her strong monopoly over Europe. There is also the “old” rivalry with the United States! The way Russia was “handled” and “treated,” right in the aftermath of the collapse of the Soviet Union too, did not help matters. We (the West) wounded their “national pride” and this is not something they are likely to forget anytime soon. I fear most of all that, while we are tied up in Iraq, expending our efforts, funds and energies in nation building, a much more serious series of rivalries are hatching in places like Russia, China, etc. Sgt Mustapha Cape Girardeau, Missouri |
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Highly Experienced Member |
Could very well be. The answers are there and the solutions are available, the leadership in Washington just doesn't have the intelligence and common sense to enact legislation and develop the programs, provide tax incentives to get the job done. It would seem that after too many years living inside the "belt way", they loose touch with reality... Respectfully, SUNLINER81 |
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