Had no trouble sleeping in the ole berthing area last night. Weather while crossing the big lake was very nice

////EM1 SENDS

Yep.. been pretty hot around these parts but did cool off earlier in the week. Just got back from summer camp last week with my sons (x2) boy scout troop. Each day, heat index above 100. 100% humidity with dew points around 69. And being surrounded by think forest, only added another 10-15% to the humidity at least , no breeze , no rain , partly cloudy 1 day . Nice thing, though it was still humid at night, there was a 40 degree temp change . It would get around 55 to 60 at night but still feel so sticky. By 10am the next morning, back up in the upper 90's . Think the average was 98 for the week. With 20 boys at camp, they were sucking down 4 cases of water a day (and that was just troop provided water) not including the 15 gallons of "bug" juice daily. One last thing. Those 5 day coolers. They DO work well .

This message has been edited. Last edited by: tc1uscg,

quote:

Originally posted by militia1:
Seth

I have good news and bad, so I will lead off with the bad. You will be talking about the threat of a Hurricane in a little over a week. The good news is that it will give you a little break from the heat.

Just got an update from 3 seperate weather agencies, and all models show a Hurricane threatening the US in about a week and a half. No clue where is makes landfall, but there was one run that made the path copy Katrina.

T

Any predictions for Astroids?

Spent time last week with the grandkids over at Disney World and Sea World. It's tough being good grand parents when the temp is 96-97 degrees. Pop and Grandma had a tough time. Didn't want to leave the Penguin House.Going into anything with ac only made it twice as bad coming out.Stayed at "Shades of Green". Well woth it.

quote:

Originally posted by tc1uscg:

quote:

Originally posted by militia1:
Seth

I have good news and bad, so I will lead off with the bad. You will be talking about the threat of a Hurricane in a little over a week. The good news is that it will give you a little break from the heat.

Just got an update from 3 seperate weather agencies, and all models show a Hurricane threatening the US in about a week and a half. No clue where is makes landfall, but there was one run that made the path copy Katrina.

T

Any predictions for Astroids?

Ill let you know when I get the latest FBI briefing. All kinds of stuff coming off of that system the last week. Here is the latest modelss on the Hurricane though. Anyone living in Texas? I want to warn against take this at face value as far as landfall. The only thing it shows is consistancy in that there will indeed be a Hurricane. This is for the 24th of August with landfall around Galveston.




T

114 here in Phoenix yesterday. Supposed to be 113 today.

I hate to rub it in, but the wx here is supposed to stay pleasant -- probably for the whole week"

Today
High: 75
Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s. Afternoon seabreeze 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight
Low: 55
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Evening seabreeze 10 to 20 mph.

I'd rather have some really cold wx, rather than the hot wx. I used to represent folks down in the Palm Springs area, and during the Summer tried to service them via phone instead of visiting them in person. And, no, it's not the humidity -- it's the heat!

...gjd

Another beautiful day in paradise!

Militia spoke about good news and bad news on Sunday.

[QUOTE) I have good news and bad, so I will lead off with the bad. You will be talking about the threat of a Hurricane in a little over a week. The good news is that it will give you a little break from the heat. (/QUOTE)

Here"s the bad news for you. Tropical Storm DEAN


Heads ups folks.

Jack

This message has been edited. Last edited by: cgrdcs,

Had a tooth pulled. OUCH. Now I have to wait til my dengurist comes with my new bottom teeth
I'm tempted to have them all pulled

My sons and I just drove from NH to NC so my older son could bring his car from NH to Camp Lejuene where he is stationed with the Marines.

It was 106 in Raliegh, NC on Friday as we passed through. Felt like a oven when we stood in a parking lot at a rest stop.

Don

quote:

Originally posted by cgrdcs:
Militia spoke about good news and bad news on Sunday.

[QUOTE) I have good news and bad, so I will lead off with the bad. You will be talking about the threat of a Hurricane in a little over a week. The good news is that it will give you a little break from the heat. (/QUOTE)

Here"s the bad news for you. Tropical Depression 4


Heads ups folks.

Jack

Thanks for the heads up, though I had caught it earlier. This thing seems to be turning for the wester part of Puerto Rico and wouldn't you know, that is where I am stationed at. Time to start saying my prayers now because the power here is hit and miss on a nice day.

Tony,

quote:

Currently working on two projects in the pipeline that are post Virginia Tech related, and both allow Deans to activate a text emergency warning system from any PC. But thats another issue.

This text message warning system sounds great except for one thing, cell phones are shut off in the classrooms. (at least in my classrooms) To advocate turning on 6,000 cell phones at my school during class time would be an educational disaster and a plan that would at best be moderately successful if ever used.

quote:

The only thing it shows is consistancy in that there will indeed be a Hurricane. This is for the 24th of August with landfall around Galveston.

Sssshhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!

....if we ignore it, maybe it'll go away!

quote:

Originally posted by original_ftg:

quote:

The only thing it shows is consistancy in that there will indeed be a Hurricane. This is for the 24th of August with landfall around Galveston.

Sssshhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!

....if we ignore it, maybe it'll go away!

Seth

Or get worse, you have another wave with well defined circulation now just North of Cuba, heading NW. The possibiity exsists that this one may become TD 5 by tomorrow.

T

quote:

Seth

Or get worse, you have another wave with well defined circulation now just North of Cuba, heading NW. The possibiity exsists that this one may become TD 5 by tomorrow.

T

I know...I was looking at this one this morning. Looks like she'll stay weak and head towards the TX/Mexico area. Last I read it should stay a TS or less....lets cross our fingers.

I would urge quite a bit of caution in believing any intensity forecast. The NHC has said that is their worst forecast because you really cant predict how strong or weak a storm will become. Failed forecasts occured with TS Chris, and especially Hurricane Charley.

Update on the models, they now take next weeks Hurricane directly over NYC. Swings like that will happen alot over the next few days.

T

quote:

Originally posted by Gunk:


Just back from Kodiak after a week stay where it was 60's and 70's...Very nice...In my part of California it's 90 as we speak...

being stationed in Kodiak, I go to that park often. That lake you were standing in front of when you took that, the town kids swim in on days like this

and that is such a beautiful area.

Still raining (early and mid-day T-storms), still getting into 70's at night, upper 80's, lower 90's during the day.

Dog days of a Chicago August.

Alright folks, we have Dean. The model runs are updated 4 times a day, and are attached below.

data from the Air Force hurricane hunter plane earlier today
indicated that Dean reached 110 knots. Next plane is expected to
reach Dean around 00 UTC tonight. Satellite images continue to show
an eye feature...numerous cyclonically curved convective bands
which are still affecting a large portion of the Lesser Antilles.
The outflow is well established in all quadrants. Although the
possibility of some fluctuations in intensity due to eyewall
replacement cycles could occur at any time...the shear is forecast
to remain low and the ocean temperature increases westward. This
would call for an overall upward intensity trend. This is
supported by the SHIPS....GFDL and hwrf intensity guidance.

Dean is moving toward the west or 280 degrees at 18 knots. The
steering pattern continues to be controlled by the high pressure
system to the north of the hurricane and the mid to upper-level low
over the southwestern Atlantic and Florida. This low is forecast
to weaken and move westward and be replaced by a ridge. This
pattern would maintain Dean over the Caribbean on a general
westward track across northern Yucatan and the western Gulf of
Mexico. The GFDL shows a more northwesterly track across extreme
western Cuba and the central Gulf of Mexico. While this solution is
outside the overall model guidance envelope...it can not be rule
out completely since this model has an excellent forecast track
history. The official track forecast is an update of the previous
one and follows the model consensus.

The bottom line is that Dean is expected to be a dangerous hurricane
through the next several days...and all interests in the Caribbean
Sea and the Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of
Dean.



















All these should self update.

T

This message has been edited. Last edited by: militia1,