A long answer to your question: You might see changes to the PAL in JUL due to the PROPOSED LORAN termination. I'm not sure what the field sees. Nor am I sure what numbers the Force Notes reflect. I only know what *I* see; and that's a change to the PAL in JUL to prepare the workforce for what's expected to come in FY10 (OCT 09).
I do not expect to see a revision to the cuts. But I'M not the one who sets them.

IF LORAN does not terminate prior to JAN 2010, then I expect to see at least some folks advance from beneath the conservative cuts. But even those advancements could be conservative and based on ACTUAL service need until the fate of LORAN is ironed out.
The tough part for many to understand is why we still might not advance to PAL THIS year if LORAN might not terminate until NEXT year. If we advance as many as we "need" in FY09 and LORAN closes next year, then we stand a great chance of having carryovers into next year and NO ADVANCEMENTS in FY10. I'm exaggerating just a tad to make a point. But I present this from the perspective of one who served with a shipmate who was #1 on the FT1 list, above the cut of ONE, but carried over for 18 months while the cuts for the next two SWE lists were at ZERO. He went on terminal leave a month before his name finally appeared on an advancement message. He left the service fairly jaded. We don't want that again!
In short, EPM is attempting to balance the needs of today's workforce without significantly impacting tomorrow's workforce. Ask your Chiefs, Senior Chiefs, Master Chiefs, or CWOs who may remember how painfully slow the ET advancements were in the early 90s when STs and most overseas LORSTAs went away. Some of you work around retired ETs who can recall, too. We hope to minimize that pain this time around, or at least spread the pain over the years instead of sucking it all up at once. It's good to have enough notice to plan. The ST merger was a total surprise. I was aboard MUNRO. We entered drydock with no plan to remove sonar equipment. Within 12 hours, we were basically told to remove the sonar dome (a huge ordeal to alter a drydock work order, I think) and that STs were going away. It was FAST.
Time and Congressional action will tell what lies ahead. It's still possible Congress will refuse to support LORAN termination and we'll fight this battle in another five years. But I guess it's also possible for a Senator to conclude that e-LORAN and an immediate reprogramming of all LORSTAs to civilian will "stimulate" the economy. Don't you just LOVE a good mystery?

BTW, the part about the Senator is completely made up and a figment of my warped mind. Don't accept that as Gospel at all.
