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Picture of oseles
Posted
RE: http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,186766,00.html

I started reading this article because I have meet and worked with GEN Chiarelli. I have met GEN Peter Chiarelli and he is as good as they come. From what I know about him, he does not shoot from the hip.
The more I read, they less this OpEd is telling me.

quote:

He's saying -- and the numbers back this up -- that over half the suicides were committed by soldiers who'd never deployed or who were on their first deployment.

However, this is a questionable interpretation of the data at best. Because if we look at the data another way, we see this:

Completed at least one full tour prior to suicide: 201
On first tour at time of suicide: 101
Never deployed: 133
Distilled further, we get this:

Soldier had deployed to a combat zone: 302
Soldier had never deployed to a combat zone: 133


He, as Admiral Mullen choose to go with the 'combat' has to be the determining factor on military suicides.
i.e. 302/133 deployed to combat zone vs not deployed to combat zone.

While GEN Peter Chiarelli looks at the non-deployed + 1st tour deployed vs multiple tours with numbers of 234 vs 201.

Brandon Friedman goes with the combat argument, that is his interpretation of the numbers.

This author has his own agenda and shows how you can interpret the same numbers in two different ways. Given that there are multiple factors that lead to suicide, I think his OpEd simplifies too much.

What I didn't catch until I had been though the OpEd several times, while he presents the total suicide number, he does NOT provide the size of the three groups he uses to make his arguments, which is a very important piece of information.

If the first tour total sample size was twice as large as the multi-tour sample, that would actually be a higher suicide rate than the multi-tour rate (202 vs 201 per sample size).

From the 2007 Washington Post article linked in the OpEd there numbers were (again, no numbers on the sample size):
99 Suicides in 2006, of which
28 were deployed and
71 were not deployed (more than 2.5 times as many).

Cause listed in the Report they got included:
quote:
Failed personal relationships, legal and financial problems and the stress of their jobs were factors motivating the soldiers to commit suicide, according to the report.
About a quarter of those who killed themselves had a history of at least one psychiatric disorder. Of those, about 20 percent had been diagnosed with a mood disorder such as bipolar disorder and/or depression; and 8 percent had been diagnosed with an anxiety disorder, including post traumatic stress disorder _ one of the signature injuries of the conflict in Iraq.
...
The rate for those serving in the wars stayed about the same, 19.4 per 100,000 in 2006, compared with 19.9 in 2005.


While Brandon Friedman has been there, so has GEN Peter Chiarelli.

What I know about Brandon Friedman is what they post with the OpEd, which includes the fact he heads a political action group (does not discuss his politics).

BUT, he only identified three causitive factors in his article, when there are many.

That you have more combat veterans committing suicide than those that have not deployed shows that the post-combat treatment of veterans (those still on active duty and those not) needs to be looked at. But we also need to look into the 133 suicides by people that have never deployed. (133 never deployed vs 101 first time deployed).

When I was is Basic Training we had a 'soldier' commit suicide on the second night of Basic. He had been ok at dinner (from what I can remember) and went to take a late shower, no real warning signed a bunch of boots, or for that matter DIs could pick up on. Unfortunately we do not have tests that will show that kind of problem in advance.

I beleive last fall Military.com posted a story about Military Suicides and it included a statement to the effect that the Suicide rate in the Army was lower than a compairable rate of civilians.

While suicide is a, and always has been a problem with the Military, reading his OpEd makes me think he is just pushing his agenda.
 
Posts: 606 | Registered: Mon 21 November 2005Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
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I cannot speak for the army stats, but in the Marine Corps there is no correlation between deployments and suicide. 65% of all suicides in the past 3 years have had a combat deployment, but 68% of all Marines have had a combat deployment.
 
Posts: 8466 | Registered: Thu 22 March 2001Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
New Member
Picture of mattkay4
Posted Hide Post
Are any of the people cited in the article or the author of the article an actual statistician? Researcher? Any qualifications? If not, then I trust their interpretation of the numbers about as much as I trust the kid who delivers my newspaper.
 
Posts: 225 | Registered: Thu 26 April 2007Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
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I'm not understanding the writer, it sounds misleading- of course keep in mind the the JCS is speaking for all services & the General is speaking just for the Army. I fought in 4 conflicts, & yes thought about eating a bullet several times- but didn't want my family to clean up the mess- so I trooped on- When I retired I finally got checked up & there it was PTSD & major depression. But you know I wa kept so busy and busy caring for my people during conflicts that the thoughts of suicide came after we got home! What about the sucide rate during Vietnam? or better WWII when they fought and stay in country for almost two years? Were our fathers mentally stronger? Or maybe it's just to much me first generation bleeding over and folks don't think anyone cares about them?
 
Posts: 498 | Registered: Thu 05 January 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
New Member
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The use of his statistics are fallacious. Just because they deployed does not mean that it is directly correlated to the suicide. Many of those already had psychological issues prior to deployment. The factors the were the catalyst for the suicide/attempt/ideation are not discussed and may have nothing to do with a deployment (family/marriages/money/trouble) are the more likely factors. A societal issue that is not discussed is a notion of the younger generation that suicide is okay (check a lot of different websites).

This is not a cut and dry issue. To directly correlate suicide to deployment is not easy and should not be such a quick conclusion by anyone.
 
Posts: 10 | Registered: Mon 12 June 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
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Posted Hide Post
 
Posts: 17071 | Registered: Sun 19 February 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
Experienced Member
Picture of uh34d
Posted Hide Post
One suicide is one too many.

What I would like to see is a study that takes all active duty and veterans of these two wars, see how many have committed suicide. Compare the numbers to those with no associated combat, single tours, two tours, three tours or more of combat and see where the numbers spike.

I'd also like to see any stats on attempted suicides in both active and veteran populations of these wars.

They could also add another component...active duty compared to Guard and Reserve.

Regardless of the why's, we still need to ascertain why suicide numbers have increased if only to learn how we may prevent them in the future.

And if my travels to three different VA facilities is any indication of what I am seeing, we're looking at the tip of the iceberg regarding the psychological problems that will come home to roost down the road.

S/F Gordon
 
Posts: 4944 | Registered: Thu 26 June 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
suspended 90 days as of 5/19/09
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by oseles:
RE: http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,186766,00.html

I started reading this article because I have meet and worked with GEN Chiarelli. I have met GEN Peter Chiarelli and he is as good as they come. From what I know about him, he does not shoot from the hip.
The more I read, they less this OpEd is telling me.

quote:

He's saying -- and the numbers back this up -- that over half the suicides were committed by soldiers who'd never deployed or who were on their first deployment.

However, this is a questionable interpretation of the data at best. Because if we look at the data another way, we see this:

Completed at least one full tour prior to suicide: 201
On first tour at time of suicide: 101
Never deployed: 133
Distilled further, we get this:

Soldier had deployed to a combat zone: 302
Soldier had never deployed to a combat zone: 133


He, as Admiral Mullen choose to go with the 'combat' has to be the determining factor on military suicides.
i.e. 302/133 deployed to combat zone vs not deployed to combat zone.

While GEN Peter Chiarelli looks at the non-deployed + 1st tour deployed vs multiple tours with numbers of 234 vs 201.

Brandon Friedman goes with the combat argument, that is his interpretation of the numbers.

This author has his own agenda and shows how you can interpret the same numbers in two different ways. Given that there are multiple factors that lead to suicide, I think his OpEd simplifies too much.

What I didn't catch until I had been though the OpEd several times, while he presents the total suicide number, he does NOT provide the size of the three groups he uses to make his arguments, which is a very important piece of information.

If the first tour total sample size was twice as large as the multi-tour sample, that would actually be a higher suicide rate than the multi-tour rate (202 vs 201 per sample size).

From the 2007 Washington Post article linked in the OpEd there numbers were (again, no numbers on the sample size):
99 Suicides in 2006, of which
28 were deployed and
71 were not deployed (more than 2.5 times as many).

Cause listed in the Report they got included:
quote:
Failed personal relationships, legal and financial problems and the stress of their jobs were factors motivating the soldiers to commit suicide, according to the report.
About a quarter of those who killed themselves had a history of at least one psychiatric disorder. Of those, about 20 percent had been diagnosed with a mood disorder such as bipolar disorder and/or depression; and 8 percent had been diagnosed with an anxiety disorder, including post traumatic stress disorder _ one of the signature injuries of the conflict in Iraq.
...
The rate for those serving in the wars stayed about the same, 19.4 per 100,000 in 2006, compared with 19.9 in 2005.


While Brandon Friedman has been there, so has GEN Peter Chiarelli.

What I know about Brandon Friedman is what they post with the OpEd, which includes the fact he heads a political action group (does not discuss his politics).

BUT, he only identified three causitive factors in his article, when there are many.

That you have more combat veterans committing suicide than those that have not deployed shows that the post-combat treatment of veterans (those still on active duty and those not) needs to be looked at. But we also need to look into the 133 suicides by people that have never deployed. (133 never deployed vs 101 first time deployed).

When I was is Basic Training we had a 'soldier' commit suicide on the second night of Basic. He had been ok at dinner (from what I can remember) and went to take a late shower, no real warning signed a bunch of boots, or for that matter DIs could pick up on. Unfortunately we do not have tests that will show that kind of problem in advance.

I beleive last fall Military.com posted a story about Military Suicides and it included a statement to the effect that the Suicide rate in the Army was lower than a compairable rate of civilians.

While suicide is a, and always has been a problem with the Military, reading his OpEd makes me think he is just pushing his agenda.


Seems there's some sort of 'weed out' problem at a very primary level, huh?

Giving somebody the opportunity to be 'Army Strong' when he maybe shouldn't be in uniform at all might be at the root of these people taking a terminal vourse to de-enlistment.

Surely there is evidence on maladjustment before they go looking down the barrel of their weapon, or putting a belt round their neck?

What the General is saying is that 'good' soldiers don't kill themselves. But that's not the problem. 'Bad' soldiers are; and in increasing numbers, and in the public media.
 
Posts: 9726 | Registered: Wed 19 October 2005Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
suspended 90 days as of 5/19/09
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by oseles:
RE: http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,186766,00.html

I started reading this article because I have meet and worked with GEN Chiarelli. I have met GEN Peter Chiarelli and he is as good as they come. From what I know about him, he does not shoot from the hip.
The more I read, they less this OpEd is telling me.

quote:

He's saying -- and the numbers back this up -- that over half the suicides were committed by soldiers who'd never deployed or who were on their first deployment.

However, this is a questionable interpretation of the data at best. Because if we look at the data another way, we see this:

Completed at least one full tour prior to suicide: 201
On first tour at time of suicide: 101
Never deployed: 133
Distilled further, we get this:

Soldier had deployed to a combat zone: 302
Soldier had never deployed to a combat zone: 133


He, as Admiral Mullen choose to go with the 'combat' has to be the determining factor on military suicides.
i.e. 302/133 deployed to combat zone vs not deployed to combat zone.

While GEN Peter Chiarelli looks at the non-deployed + 1st tour deployed vs multiple tours with numbers of 234 vs 201.

Brandon Friedman goes with the combat argument, that is his interpretation of the numbers.

This author has his own agenda and shows how you can interpret the same numbers in two different ways. Given that there are multiple factors that lead to suicide, I think his OpEd simplifies too much.

What I didn't catch until I had been though the OpEd several times, while he presents the total suicide number, he does NOT provide the size of the three groups he uses to make his arguments, which is a very important piece of information.

If the first tour total sample size was twice as large as the multi-tour sample, that would actually be a higher suicide rate than the multi-tour rate (202 vs 201 per sample size).

From the 2007 Washington Post article linked in the OpEd there numbers were (again, no numbers on the sample size):
99 Suicides in 2006, of which
28 were deployed and
71 were not deployed (more than 2.5 times as many).

Cause listed in the Report they got included:
quote:
Failed personal relationships, legal and financial problems and the stress of their jobs were factors motivating the soldiers to commit suicide, according to the report.
About a quarter of those who killed themselves had a history of at least one psychiatric disorder. Of those, about 20 percent had been diagnosed with a mood disorder such as bipolar disorder and/or depression; and 8 percent had been diagnosed with an anxiety disorder, including post traumatic stress disorder _ one of the signature injuries of the conflict in Iraq.
...
The rate for those serving in the wars stayed about the same, 19.4 per 100,000 in 2006, compared with 19.9 in 2005.


While Brandon Friedman has been there, so has GEN Peter Chiarelli.

What I know about Brandon Friedman is what they post with the OpEd, which includes the fact he heads a political action group (does not discuss his politics).

BUT, he only identified three causitive factors in his article, when there are many.

That you have more combat veterans committing suicide than those that have not deployed shows that the post-combat treatment of veterans (those still on active duty and those not) needs to be looked at. But we also need to look into the 133 suicides by people that have never deployed. (133 never deployed vs 101 first time deployed).

When I was is Basic Training we had a 'soldier' commit suicide on the second night of Basic. He had been ok at dinner (from what I can remember) and went to take a late shower, no real warning signed a bunch of boots, or for that matter DIs could pick up on. Unfortunately we do not have tests that will show that kind of problem in advance.

I beleive last fall Military.com posted a story about Military Suicides and it included a statement to the effect that the Suicide rate in the Army was lower than a compairable rate of civilians.

While suicide is a, and always has been a problem with the Military, reading his OpEd makes me think he is just pushing his agenda.


********'s being used to baffle brains again. There's more, worse someplace else is a common military mindset.

What seem evident is that there's some sort of 'weed out' problem at a very primary level, huh?

Giving somebody the opportunity to be 'Army Strong' when he maybe shouldn't be in uniform at all might be at the root of these people taking a terminal course to de-enlistment.

Surely there is evidence on maladjustment before they go looking down the barrel of their weapon, or putting a belt round their neck?

What the General is saying is that 'good' soldiers don't kill themselves. But that's not the problem. 'Bad' soldiers are; and in increasing numbers, and in the public media.
 
Posts: 9726 | Registered: Wed 19 October 2005Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
suspended 90 days as of 5/19/09
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by oseles:
RE: http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,186766,00.html

I started reading this article because I have meet and worked with GEN Chiarelli. I have met GEN Peter Chiarelli and he is as good as they come. From what I know about him, he does not shoot from the hip.
The more I read, they less this OpEd is telling me.

quote:

He's saying -- and the numbers back this up -- that over half the suicides were committed by soldiers who'd never deployed or who were on their first deployment.

However, this is a questionable interpretation of the data at best. Because if we look at the data another way, we see this:

Completed at least one full tour prior to suicide: 201
On first tour at time of suicide: 101
Never deployed: 133
Distilled further, we get this:

Soldier had deployed to a combat zone: 302
Soldier had never deployed to a combat zone: 133


He, as Admiral Mullen choose to go with the 'combat' has to be the determining factor on military suicides.
i.e. 302/133 deployed to combat zone vs not deployed to combat zone.

While GEN Peter Chiarelli looks at the non-deployed + 1st tour deployed vs multiple tours with numbers of 234 vs 201.

Brandon Friedman goes with the combat argument, that is his interpretation of the numbers.

This author has his own agenda and shows how you can interpret the same numbers in two different ways. Given that there are multiple factors that lead to suicide, I think his OpEd simplifies too much.

What I didn't catch until I had been though the OpEd several times, while he presents the total suicide number, he does NOT provide the size of the three groups he uses to make his arguments, which is a very important piece of information.

If the first tour total sample size was twice as large as the multi-tour sample, that would actually be a higher suicide rate than the multi-tour rate (202 vs 201 per sample size).

From the 2007 Washington Post article linked in the OpEd there numbers were (again, no numbers on the sample size):
99 Suicides in 2006, of which
28 were deployed and
71 were not deployed (more than 2.5 times as many).

Cause listed in the Report they got included:
quote:
Failed personal relationships, legal and financial problems and the stress of their jobs were factors motivating the soldiers to commit suicide, according to the report.
About a quarter of those who killed themselves had a history of at least one psychiatric disorder. Of those, about 20 percent had been diagnosed with a mood disorder such as bipolar disorder and/or depression; and 8 percent had been diagnosed with an anxiety disorder, including post traumatic stress disorder _ one of the signature injuries of the conflict in Iraq.
...
The rate for those serving in the wars stayed about the same, 19.4 per 100,000 in 2006, compared with 19.9 in 2005.


While Brandon Friedman has been there, so has GEN Peter Chiarelli.

What I know about Brandon Friedman is what they post with the OpEd, which includes the fact he heads a political action group (does not discuss his politics).

BUT, he only identified three causitive factors in his article, when there are many.

That you have more combat veterans committing suicide than those that have not deployed shows that the post-combat treatment of veterans (those still on active duty and those not) needs to be looked at. But we also need to look into the 133 suicides by people that have never deployed. (133 never deployed vs 101 first time deployed).

When I was is Basic Training we had a 'soldier' commit suicide on the second night of Basic. He had been ok at dinner (from what I can remember) and went to take a late shower, no real warning signed a bunch of boots, or for that matter DIs could pick up on. Unfortunately we do not have tests that will show that kind of problem in advance.

I beleive last fall Military.com posted a story about Military Suicides and it included a statement to the effect that the Suicide rate in the Army was lower than a compairable rate of civilians.

While suicide is a, and always has been a problem with the Military, reading his OpEd makes me think he is just pushing his agenda.


Bullroar's being used to baffle brains again. There's more, worse, someplace else is a common military mindset.

What appears evident is that there's some sort of 'weed out' problem at a very primary level.

Giving somebody the opportunity to be 'Army Strong' when he/she maybe shouldn't be in uniform at all, might be at the root of these people taking a terminal course to de-enlistment.

Surely there is evidence on maladjustment before they go looking down the barrel of their weapon, or putting a belt round their neck?

What the General is saying is that 'good' soldiers don't kill themselves. But that's not the problem. 'Bad' soldiers are; and in increasing numbers, and in the public media.
 
Posts: 9726 | Registered: Wed 19 October 2005Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete Message
suspended 90 days as of 5/19/09
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by popsiq:
quote:
Originally posted by oseles:
RE: http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,186766,00.html

I started reading this article because I have meet and worked with GEN Chiarelli. I have met GEN Peter Chiarelli and he is as good as they come. From what I know about him, he does not shoot from the hip.
The more I read, they less this OpEd is telling me.

quote:

He's saying -- and the numbers back this up -- that over half the suicides were committed by soldiers who'd never deployed or who were on their first deployment.

However, this is a questionable interpretation of the data at best. Because if we look at the data another way, we see this:

Completed at least one full tour prior to suicide: 201
On first tour at time of suicide: 101
Never deployed: 133
Distilled further, we get this:

Soldier had deployed to a combat zone: 302
Soldier had never deployed to a combat zone: 133


He, as Admiral Mullen choose to go with the 'combat' has to be the determining factor on military suicides.
i.e. 302/133 deployed to combat zone vs not deployed to combat zone.

While GEN Peter Chiarelli looks at the non-deployed + 1st tour deployed vs multiple tours with numbers of 234 vs 201.

Brandon Friedman goes with the combat argument, that is his interpretation of the numbers.

This author has his own agenda and shows how you can interpret the same numbers in two different ways. Given that there are multiple factors that lead to suicide, I think his OpEd simplifies too much.

What I didn't catch until I had been though the OpEd several times, while he presents the total suicide number, he does NOT provide the size of the three groups he uses to make his arguments, which is a very important piece of information.

If the first tour total sample size was twice as large as the multi-tour sample, that would actually be a higher suicide rate than the multi-tour rate (202 vs 201 per sample size).

From the 2007 Washington Post article linked in the OpEd there numbers were (again, no numbers on the sample size):
99 Suicides in 2006, of which
28 were deployed and
71 were not deployed (more than 2.5 times as many).

Cause listed in the Report they got included:
quote:
Failed personal relationships, legal and financial problems and the stress of their jobs were factors motivating the soldiers to commit suicide, according to the report.
About a quarter of those who killed themselves had a history of at least one psychiatric disorder. Of those, about 20 percent had been diagnosed with a mood disorder such as bipolar disorder and/or depression; and 8 percent had been diagnosed with an anxiety disorder, including post traumatic stress disorder _ one of the signature injuries of the conflict in Iraq.
...
The rate for those serving in the wars stayed about the same, 19.4 per 100,000 in 2006, compared with 19.9 in 2005.


While Brandon Friedman has been there, so has GEN Peter Chiarelli.

What I know about Brandon Friedman is what they post with the OpEd, which includes the fact he heads a political action group (does not discuss his politics).

BUT, he only identified three causitive factors in his article, when there are many.

That you have more combat veterans committing suicide than those that have not deployed shows that the post-combat treatment of veterans (those still on active duty and those not) needs to be looked at. But we also need to look into the 133 suicides by people that have never deployed. (133 never deployed vs 101 first time deployed).

When I was is Basic Training we had a 'soldier' commit suicide on the second night of Basic. He had been ok at dinner (from what I can remember) and went to take a late shower, no real warning signed a bunch of boots, or for that matter DIs could pick up on. Unfortunately we do not have tests that will show that kind of problem in advance.

I beleive last fall Military.com posted a story about Military Suicides and it included a statement to the effect that the Suicide rate in the Army was lower than a compairable rate of civilians.

While suicide is a, and always has been a problem with the Military, reading his OpEd makes me think he is just pushing his agenda.


Bullroar's being used to baffle brains again. There's more, worse, someplace else is a common military mindset.

What appears evident is that there's some sort of 'weed out' problem at a very primary level.

Giving somebody the opportunity to be 'Army Strong' when he/she maybe shouldn't be in uniform at all, might be at the root of these people taking a terminal course to de-enlistment.

Surely there is evidence of maladjustment before they go looking down the barrel of their weapon, or putting a belt round their neck?

What the General is saying is that 'good' soldiers don't kill themselves. But that's not the problem. 'Bad' soldiers are; and in increasing numbers, and in the public media.
 
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